Die invloed van klimaatverandering op die Suid-Afrikaanse stad en voorgestelde aanpassings
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Conradie, Dirk
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Department of Urban and Regional Planning, University of the Free State
Abstract
Showing abstract in English
English: The purpose of this article is to research the effect of climate change on the
South African city and to recommend appropriate measures, based on the specific
climatic zone. With increased climate change, it is getting increasingly important that
the South African city should be resilient. Recently, the CSIR produced new climate
and energy maps to replace the SANS 204 (2011) South African National Building
Standards six zone climatic region map. To ensure the long-term applicability of the
new climate map, it was decided that, over and above the use of historic climatic data,
climate change should also be considered. An A2 climate change scenario of the
Special Report on Emission Scenarios (SRES) for the period 1961-2100 (Engelbrecht
et al., 2011: 649) was used. An A2 scenario can be described as business as usual.
Recent research predicts that southern Africa can expect a temperature increase
of between 4°C to 6°C in hot western dessert areas (Engelbrecht & Engelbrecht,
2016: 247-261). Simultaneously, the amount of energy in the atmosphere increases,
causing higher intensity storms (Emanuel, 2005: 686-688). The significant warming
will have a severe impact on cities where the so-called Urban Heat Island (UHI)
causes cities to be significantly warmer than surrounding rural areas. These factors
indicate that climate change will have a significant impact on the southern African city.
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Conradie, D. (2016). Die invloed van klimaatverandering op die Suid-Afrikaanse stad en voorgestelde aanpassings. Town and Regional Planning, 68, 27-42.