Drivers of nuclear proliferation: South Africa's incentives and constraints

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Date
2014-06
Authors
Asuelime, Lucky
Francis, Suzanne
Journal Title
Journal ISSN
Volume Title
Publisher
Faculty of the Humanities, University of the Free State
Abstract
Many factors are identified as causes of nuclear proliferation, but three stands out among them. These comprise the international and domestic political environment, technical capabilities and motivation. This article explores, on the one hand, the conditions that are conducive for the proliferation of nuclear weapons, whilst also suggesting strategies that can effectively address the problem. The authors use the South African episode as a case study. They identify the role of technology and motivations in the development of South Africa’s nuclear weapons programme and claim that the possession of technological capability is not a sufficient cause of nuclear proliferation. Rather, the presence of strong motivations in conjunction with sufficient technical capability leads to nuclear proliferation.
Description
Keywords
Nuclear proliferation, Capability, Motivation, Incentives and disincentives, South Africa, Constraints, Uranium, Nuclear Proliferation Treaty
Citation
Asuelime, L., & Francis, S. (2014). Drivers of nuclear proliferation: South Africa's incentives and constraints. Journal for Contemporary History, 39(1), 55-68.